As of May 25, 2025, political analysts are closely monitoring the upcoming gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey, scheduled for November 4. These contests, among the few major elections in an off-year, are anticipated to serve as indicators of public sentiment ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Virginia’s Historic Gubernatorial Race
In Virginia, the gubernatorial race is open due to term limits preventing incumbent Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin from seeking re-election. The Democratic nominee is former U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger, while the Republican nominee is Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears. This election is poised to make history, as Virginia is set to elect its first female governor. If Earle-Sears wins, she would also become the first Black woman governor in U.S. history.
Spanberger has centered her campaign on supporting union labor and federal workers, pledging to prioritize job creation and oppose federal cutbacks affecting Virginia’s sizable federal workforce. Earle-Sears, endorsed by outgoing Governor Youngkin, emphasizes pro-business policies and the continuation of Virginia’s right-to-work laws.
New Jersey’s Competitive Democratic Primary
In New Jersey, the gubernatorial election features a competitive Democratic primary, as incumbent Governor Phil Murphy is term-limited and cannot seek re-election. Six candidates are vying for the Democratic nomination: Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop, U.S. Representatives Josh Gottheimer and Mikie Sherrill, teachers union president Sean Spiller, and former state Senate President Steve Sweeney.
The Republican primary includes former state Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli, who has received an endorsement from former President Donald Trump, conservative activist Bill Spadea, former Mayor Mario Kranjac, and state Senator Jon Bramnick.
Special Elections in Other States
Beyond the gubernatorial races, several special elections for state legislative seats and local offices are scheduled in various states, including Pennsylvania and Minnesota. These contests will provide further insight into voter priorities and the political landscape. In Pennsylvania, special elections have been held to fill vacancies in the state legislature, with outcomes potentially impacting the balance of power. Minnesota has also conducted special elections to address unexpected vacancies, influencing the state’s legislative dynamics.
Conclusion
The 2025 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey, along with various special elections across the country, are set to play a significant role in shaping the national political narrative. These contests will not only determine state leadership but also offer a glimpse into the electorate’s mood ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.