Decline in Firearm Sales and NICS Checks Reported for February 2025

Recent data from the National Instant Background Check System (NICS) for February 2025 has shown a notable decrease in both firearms sales and background checks. Specifically, firearm sales saw a drop of approximately nine percent compared to February 2024, and NICS background checks declined by about five percent during the same period. Interestingly, sales of handguns and “multiple” firearms experienced a slight uptick from January to February, while long gun and “other” categories saw a reduction.

Continuing Trends in Firearm Sales
The National Shooting Sports Foundation (NSSF) reports that February 2025 marks another month in which the sales of firearms exceeded 1 million units. This month represents the 67th consecutive month of surpassing the 1 million sales threshold.
Historically, firearm sales tend to dip in January following the holiday season rush, yet February—despite being a shorter month—typically shows stronger sales than January. In fact, data shows that NICS checks were higher in February than in January for 20 of the last 26 years recorded by NICS.
Political and Market Influences
The fluctuations in sales and checks can be contextualized within the larger political landscape, particularly as President Trump has been in office for over a month during his second term. The swift implementation of policies by the current administration appears to signal a departure from the earlier, more stringent regulatory stance associated with the Biden administration. In Trump’s first term, firearm sales experienced a slight decline, partially attributed to public perception of lower threats to Second Amendment rights compared to the alternatives presented by the opposing party.
The Longevity of Firearms and Market Dynamics
Over the past 16 years, the private firearm stock in the United States has increased by approximately 210 million units. Firearms, known for their durability, can last for generations with proper care. Advances in ammunition technology and materials have enhanced both the lifespan and maintenance of firearms. Techniques that emerged in the early to mid-20th century, such as using non-corrosive primers and stainless steel components, have contributed to this durability. While longevity in firearms may reduce immediate demand, market dynamics continue to keep prices at historically low levels.
Conclusion
The current landscape of firearms sales and background checks in February 2025 reflects a complex interplay of seasonal trends, political shifts, and advancements in the industry. As consumer behavior and market conditions evolve, understanding these factors will be crucial for stakeholders within the firearms community and beyond.
About Dean Weingarten
Dean Weingarten is a recognized peace officer and former military officer with extensive experience in firearms safety education, having been certified to teach since 1973. He has a diverse educational background, including degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and has had a 30-year career with the Department of Defense focused on Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.